According to Global News Ipsos, Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives are the frontrunners over Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, while Jagmeet Singh’s New Democrats are facing major hurdles in a competitive 2019 federal election campaign.
Scheer’s Conservatives were the preferred choice of 37 per cent of decided and leaning voters that Ipsos polled at the end of June, while Trudeau’s Liberals had the support of 33 per cent and Singh’s NDP were the pick of 21 per cent.
The online poll was conducted from June 27 to June 29.
And yet, Trudeau’s approval rating continues to improve.
It’s a climb that Ipsos attributes to two factors: the fulfillment of one of the Liberals’ highest-profile campaign promises, the commitment to legalize recreational use of cannabis; and the Trudeau government’s decision to match the Trump administration dollar-for-dollar in a trade war.
Ipsos found that 55 per cent of those surveyed approved of the job the prime minister is doing, an improvement of five points compared to a similar poll two weeks ago.
Volunteers and donors may also look to polling numbers at this point in the election cycle as encouragement to support their preferred party.
A prospective Conservative candidate, for example, may be heartened by Scheer’s decent showing in the polls along with the recent upset by-election victory in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord and, based on those factors, may make the significant personal commitment required to become a candidate for the 2019 election.
Ipsos claimed the results of its most recent survey are accurate to within 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, for the national number.
The pollster’s regional results will be less accurate because they’re taken from a smaller sample, though the pollster did not provide an estimation of their accuracy.
Ipsos also asked survey respondents to rate the Trudeau government on a dozen or so key issues.
The government’s best ranking was on the issue of improving Canada’s relationship with Indigenous communities, with 30 per cent saying it had improved that relationship, versus 55 per cent who think it has stayed the same and 15 per cent who say it has worsened.
The Trudeau government’s worst ranking on issues that Ipsos presented to survey respondents was on immigration, with 47 per cent of respondents saying the federal government has made Canada’s immigration system worse while just 17 per cent say it has improved.
As for “affordability of your day-to-day life,” 46 per cent of respondents said the Trudeau government has made things worse compared to nine per cent who said it has improved.
The poll result on that issue suggests the Conservatives are prevailing in that public relations battle. -CINEWS