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Seat projection study suggests likely win for federal Liberals, but no majority

A seat projection put together by the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP) using polls from Nanos, Forum, Angus Reid, Leger and Mainstreet suggests that the federal Liberal Party under PM Trudeau is likely to win without a majority.

The Liberal Party has dropped some 30 seats since the previous LISPOP projection six months ago. The Conservatives have made comparable gains during the period, and it produces the prospect of a minority government for the Liberals.

Liberal support has noticeably slipped in every region except Quebec, where they continue to maintain a 17-per cent lead in the popular vote over the Conservatives.

Ontario remains competitive for all parties.

The SNC-Lavalin controversy is clearly associated with the Liberal decline outside Quebec, but the Conservative narrative has as yet been unable to create a sustainable wave in their direction.
So, Canadians can once again prepare for a hung parliament and the politics that goes with it. With any ruling party not winning a clear majority, it remains to be seen if it can survive a whole 5-year term. -CINEWS

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